Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
WEB2 days ago · Harris' path to victory. Each contest in the 2024 presidential election ordered by forecasted margin from most to least Democratic, along with the cumulative number of electoral votes Harris would receive if she won a contest and all those preceding it. Click the buttons to change how the states are ordered.
Nate Silver finds Harris with edge on Trump for first time since …
WEB3 days ago · Vice President Harris has taken the lead in pollster Nate Silver's election forecast and model for the first time since Aug. 28. Harris now leads in the polling aggregation with 48.9 percent to Trump’s 46.1 percent. Silver, in a post noting the shift, emphasized how tight the race is between Harris and Trump.
Nate Silver: ’50/50′ forecast means ‘people should be making …
WEB2 days ago · Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential election means that people should start planning for the possibility that former President Trump takes back the White House in November. Silver’s election forecast and model showed Vice President Harris beating Trump for the first time since Aug. 28. Harris, as of …
Kamala Harris Favored to Win 4 Critical Swing States—Nate Silver…
WEBAccording to Silver's calculated polling averages for the two nominees, Harris leads the former president in Michigan by 2.4 points (49.3 to 46.9 percent) as of Saturday.
Nate Silver Issues 'Good News' for Kamala Harris on Electoral
WEBNate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala Harris on an episode of his podcast, Risky Business, with Maria Konnikova.
Nate Silver poll projects Harris, Trump split popular, electoral vote
WEB6 days ago · More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split. Polls released Monday by USA TODAY/Suffolk University show Kamala Harris holds a four-point lead over ...
Silver Bulletin | Nate Silver | Substack
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Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
WEBApr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Nate Silver: Kamala Harris Had Momentum Early On And Then …
WEB3 days ago · Nate Silver discussed the state of the 2024 election on CNN: "With all seven states polling so closely, I don't really have an intuition beyond what's in our forecast, which is 50-50, almost exactly.
Nate Silver - The New York Times
WEBSame-Sex Marriage Availability Set to Double in One-Year Span. By August, roughly 585 million people will live in countries or jurisdictions where same-sex marriage is legal, more than double the...