That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

The past couple of months, which include the steepening of the yield curve, have been positive for BDCs. Check out what ...

As of Monday, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 3.72%, with the two-year at 3.65%. That’s a spread of 7 basis points (bps).

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

We warn investors of recession signals in the resolved yield curve, questioning Biden officials' role in bond market effects.

Wednesday's closing level was the highest since Nov. 1, 2023. What drove markets The Treasury yield curve continued to steepen on Wednesday, with longer-dated rates spiking as the result of a ...

The People’s Bank of China’s decision to halt bond buying is exacerbating the rise in short-end rates and flattening the ...

Traders say that abundant supply of short-term debt was a factor keeping the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted for longer than is usual, from around July 2022 to September, which is now being ...