If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly attempts to calculate the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months using the difference between the 10-year and three-month Treasury rates ...

We're probably already in a recession. The U.S. economy contracted for the second consecutive quarter, with the gross domestic product (GDP) falling 0.9% in Q2 after a 1.6% decline in Q1. Having two ...

The good news for traders: A U.S. recession is almost fully priced into the stock market. The bad news: It's not 100% priced in, if history is any guide. With the S&P 500 down about 19% from its Jan.