BIS warns crypto exchanges are acting as shadow banks, raising systemic risk concerns. Stablecoin depeg by 2027 at 3% YES.

Sergey Karaganov’s aggressive remarks on Russia 24 further complicate the potential for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, with the ceasefire by May 31, 2026, market at 5.1% YES.

Iran-linked hackers exposed identities of Israeli special ops officers. Iran strikes Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

Trump was evacuated from a White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions. Trump out as President by April 30 at 0.2% YES.

Shipping officials have warned that the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is escalating volatility as Iran intensifies ...

Trump halted US-Iran peace talks, causing the April 30 deal market to drop to 3.8% YES, with May 31 at 31.5% YES and June 30 ...

Bitcoin sharks accumulated 37,920 BTC as Middle East tensions eased. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 2026 sits at 4.9% ...

Iran has ramped up executions of political prisoners, and the market for the Iranian regime falling by May 31 now sits at 4.3% YES, down from 5% yesterday.

A Balancer attacker has converted 21k ETH (about $48.7M) to 617 BTC over three days, leaving only 1k ETH in the hacker’s ...

Iran proposed a talks framework with the US but emphasized deep distrust. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, ...

Putin's approval ratings hit a wartime low, but the market sees no immediate threat to his power with odds of him being out ...

Israel’s military strikes in Gaza, killing a dozen people, have added political pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu. The ...