US redirects 38 ships amid Iran blockade, making escort operations unlikely by April 30. Escort operations priced at 2.1% YES ...

A whale moved $26.1M in Solana to Binance, indicating potential selling pressure; Solana reaching $150 by April 30 is at 0% ...

White House reaffirms firm stance on Iran's nuclear program, with US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds at 15.5% YES.

Iran's leadership shows division on Trump's uranium demands, making a nuclear deal by April 30 unlikely; market at 2.6% YES.

Bennett and Lapid form the Beyachad party to challenge Netanyahu in 2026 elections. Netanyahu out by June 30 at 6% YES.

Japan's 20-year bond yield rises to 3.320% amid tighter monetary policy expectations. Rate cut after April 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Islamabad has indicated progress toward a broader regional agreement, potentially advancing the “Islamabad process” aimed at ...

China increases economic pressure on the US amid the Iran conflict. Trump visiting China by May 31 at 76.5% YES.

Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader has lowered the odds of regime collapse by May 31 to 3.2% YES.

Iran proposes a way to bypass leadership disputes on nuclear concessions. US-Iran meeting by June 30 at 15.2% YES.

Iran proposed a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end its naval blockade. Traffic returning to normal by May 15 at 16.5 ...

Bitcoin reaches $79,000 amid US-Iran ceasefire, signaling strong bullish sentiment; drop to $60,000 by April 30 now at 0.1% ...