Bessent’s comments reinforce the US hardline stance on Iran and Russia. The crude oil all-time-high market, at just 1.1%, ...

China’s expanded pressure tactics could complicate or delay Trump’s planned visit. At 26¢, a NO share on Trump visiting by ...

Crypto hacks in April exceed $623 million with four days remaining. Another $100 million-plus hack by December priced at 100% ...

Netanyahu cancels the Meron celebration due to renewed fire from Lebanon. Ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah by June 30 ...

OpenAI launched GPT-5.5 in ChatGPT and Codex, and the Polymarket contract for GPT-5.5 by April 30, 2026 now sits at 100% YES.

Israel tightens security amid rising Hezbollah tensions. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 at 100% YES, but market may reassess due ...

The head of the Gas Exporting Countries’ Forum warned that structural gas demand destruction could reshape the global LNG ...

Iran's Qalibaf claims the US has exhausted oil options, causing peace deal odds to drop sharply; peace deal by April 30 at 2% ...

Iran states the Strait of Hormuz won't return to its previous state amid US distrust. WTI crude oil hitting $160 in April at ...

Iran's regime fall odds rise slightly to 8.5% as a China-backed ceasefire stabilizes the situation. Regime fall by June 30 at ...

US cancels envoy trips to Iran, causing peace deal odds to drop to 2%. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 now at 14.5% ...

A third assassination attempt on Trump occurred during the White House Correspondents' Dinner. GOP nomination for Trump in ...